Trend Analysis of Area, Production and Productivity of Banana in Anand District of Gujarat, India
H. V. Gundaniya *
Shri Vaishnav Vidyapeeth Vishwavidyalaya, Indore, Madhya Pradesh – 453555, India and Department of Agricultural Statistics Anand Agricultural University, Anand – 388110, India.
V. B. Darji
Department of Agricultural Statistics Anand Agricultural University, Anand – 388110, India.
B. R. Suthar
Faculty of Agricultural science, GLA University, Mathura, Uttar Pradesh – 281406, India.
P. R. Vekariya
Department of Agricultural Statistics Anand Agricultural University, Anand – 388110, India.
*Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Abstract
Banana (Musa sp.) holds the second position in terms of significance among fruit crops in India, following mango. Gujarat is ranked second and third in the production and productivity of banana respectively. This research aimed to examine the patterns in the cultivation area, production, and productivity of banana in Anand district, Gujarat. Secondary time series data spanning 16 years (from 2005-06 to 2020-21) were utilized for this analysis, sourced from the Directorate of Horticulture, Gujarat. Eight distinct linear and non-linear models were applied, and the most suitable model was chosen based on the highest adjusted R2 and the lowest root mean square error (RMSE) values. The findings indicated that the cubic model demonstrated the best fit for depicting the trends in the area, production, and productivity of banana in Anand district, Gujarat. The study concluded that the cultivation area and production exhibited fluctuating trends, while productivity displayed a consistent upward trend throughout the analyzed period.
Keywords: Trend analysis, banana, Anand, linear model, non-linear model